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Athens News Agency: News in English, 10-07-24

Athens News Agency: News in English Directory - Previous Article - Next Article

From: The Athens News Agency at <http://www.ana.gr/>

CONTENTS

  • [01] Cyprus solution 'dividend' would run to billions, PRIO paper predicts
  • [02] Athens Newspaper Headlines

  • [01] Cyprus solution 'dividend' would run to billions, PRIO paper predicts

    NICOSIA (ANA-MPA - A. Viketos) Achieving a solution to the Cyprus issue will yield a major "peace dividend" translating into billions of euros per year for both Turkey and Greece, according to research carried out by an award-winning team of economists and published by the Cyprus Centre of the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO).

    According to the research paper unveiled on July 22, Turkey stands to gain an estimated 17 billion euros a year, with new annual gross revenue of 12.3 billion euros and annual cost savings of 5.1 billion euros. This is equivalent to 3.5% of Turkey's GDP. A preview of benefits for Greece estimates savings in the region of three billion euros.

    The research, entitled, The Day After III: The Cyprus dividend for Turkey and Greece, is the third in the series of Day After reports written by the three-woman team √zlem Onuz √ilsal, Praxoula Antoniadou Kyriacou and Fiona Mullen.

    The authors look beyond Cyprus to the region, analyzing the peace dividend that awaits Turkey after a solution that unites the island, while also previewing the benefits for Greece. As always, the estimates made by the three economists are based on analysis of hard statistical data. They find that Turkey will not only make significant savings from property litigation and military expenditure but also stands to make huge financial gains from the transformation of the Turkey-Cyprus-Greece region into one of lasting peace and stability. This, in turn, will have positive spillover effects for tourism, transport, financial and business services, and last, but not least, energy.

    Indicatively, they see additional revenues of 3.3 billion euros per year in tourism and transport, an estimated 7 billion euros boost to financial and business services, two billion euros for exports and a potential 33 billion euros for foreign investment as a result of opening the energy chapter in the accession talks with the EU, currently blocked as a result of the Cyprus issue.

    The authors also predict 5.1 billion euros per year in savings from property litigation (2.4 billion per year), military expenditure (2.2 billion euros per year) and from having to financially support the isolated Turkish-Cypriot regime in north Cyprus (480 million per year).

    The authors' preview of the economic benefits to Greece identified savings of 2.3 billion euros per year in military expenditure, 50 million euros per year of income from gas transit, 110 million euros of additional tourism revenue and 19.8 billion euros per year in foreign direct investment.

    In their first Day After report, the authors analyzed the main business opportunities that would arise from the reunification of Cyprus and quantified the peace dividend for the key sectors that would benefit. In their Day After II report, having researched the investment and reconstruction needs in the first few years, they went one step further by extending their analysis to the whole economy. They found that a peaceful solution that unites the island would generate EUR 12,000 per year per family on the island, create 33,000 new jobs and raise the real GDP growth rate by 3 percentage points per year on average for at least the first five years.

    In an address at the launch of the report, Special Advisor to the Secretary-General on Cyprus Alexander Downer stressed that it was "a timely reminder of what business people on this island have been telling me for a long time: that a solution will bring huge opportunities for Cyprus, Turkey and Greece. And these benefits will long outlive any of the short-term costs".

    [02] Athens Newspaper Headlines

    The Saturday edition of Athens' dailies at a glance

    The results of bank stress tests and the success of Greece's banks, the privatisations programme and other issues relating to the economy were the main front-page items in Athens' dailies on Saturday.

    ADESMEFTOS TYPOS: "Banks pass the stress tests".

    APOGEVMATINI: "'Go on holiday without feeling guilty!' Prime minister's unbelievable advice to ministers at the Cabinet meeting while citizens groan!".

    AVGHI: "They're taking the change as well". [refers to amendment preventing labour arbitration from awarding salary raises above the levels agreed in the EU-IMF memorandum, which the paper claims essentially abolishes arbitration].

    AVRIANI: "The way is open for acquisitions and mergers - Vote of confidence in Greek banks that successfully pass tough stress tests".

    ELEFTHEROS: "'Fire' lit under ministers! You've ended up as managers for IMF staff".

    ELEFTHEROS TYPOS: "Taxes driving away Greek and foreign businesses".

    ELEFTHEROTYPIA: "The three scenarios for the banks - the Interministerial Privatisations Committee see nationalisations as well".

    ESTIA: "Those who created the deficits".

    ETHNOS: "Hiring by installments in hospitals - 'breather' for the operation of the ESY".

    IMERISSIA: "Vigilance in the economy - Light of hope in the fog of recession and unemployment - Optimistic messages from three fronts".

    KATHIMERINI: "Changes in the banks starting with ATE".

    LOGOS: "Stress tests positive...for the big banks of the EU".

    NAFTEMPORIKI: "Greek banks withstand the test".

    NIKI: "The new developmental law - the assistance given by area and size of business".

    RIZOSPASTIS: "Salaries-wages in a 'plaster cast' by law in the private sector".

    STO KARFI: "A laughing stock - Karamanlis' time has come - Coverage from the 'guardian' Angelou has made him a figure of fun.

    TA NEA: "Black hole swallowing up public utilities and state enterprises - hospitals, municipalities, OSE and buses in the Troika's sights".

    TO VIMA: "Banks holding up, only ATEBank in the red".

    VRADYNI: "Stressed over bank stress tests".


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